Sustainability consultancy, Ndevr Environmental, has released its quarterly emissions budget for Australia, showing that annual emissions for the calendar year to September 2017 were the highest on record.
This is despite a fall in emissions from the National Electricity Market to a three-year low, driven by a massive increase in wind generated electricity in Victoria and NSW.
Transport emissions, on the other hand, were the highest on record, with diesel sales up 14% on the same quarter last year. Aviation fuel sales increased 6% on the previous quarter, while petrol sales have remained relatively stable for several years.
The budget finds that Australia's emissions for Q1/FY2018 are projected to be 7.3 Mt CO2-e higher than the required trajectory to meet the Paris Agreement, and 17.2 Mt CO2-e higher than the required trajectory to meet Australia’s Science Based Target (SBT).
The report noted the marked transition in Victoria and New South Wales from coal-generated electricity to renewable sources. In Victoria, renewable energy increased from 10.6% to 14.0% since the previous quarter, driven by a doubling in wind energy generation, while generation from brown coal, gas and hydro decreased for the quarter. In NSW, renewable generation rose from 5.3% to 7.1% driven by an uptake of wind energy which increased by a factor of 2.4, while generation from coal and hydro decreased for the quarter and generation from gas increased.
The report, released in partnership with Guardian Australia, was compiled by Ndevr Environmental, using the latest information available from AEMO, the of the Chief Economist, Australian Petroleum Statistics and the Department of the Environment and Energy’s National Greenhouse Gas Inventory reports.
The Australian Government's National Greenhouse Gas Inventory, normally updated quarterly, is currently six months behind, with figures for the March 2017 quarter released in August.
The Ndevr Environmental quarterly report, Tracking 2 Degrees - FY18 Q1, is available here.